Ali Oncel
February 29, 2010
Name of the selected paper: Good News: Life's no longer short (not sure about nasty or brutish)
Life expectancy changes
Summary: An analysis of the life expectancy shows that a boy, born in 2085, will live longer, 93.8 years, a girl for 96.1 years than a boy whereas born in 1850, could anticipate living for 38.3 years, a girl for 40.5 years. Comparison of the life expectancy between the born females/males in 2010 and the born male/female in 2085 shows a time-advance of the human life ranging from 5.7 yrs (male) and 3.9 yrs (female). The best scenario of the longevity indicates an expectation of many centurions between tens of thousands (Canada) to hundreds of thousands (U.S) in the North America by 2085. A Canadian boy and girl, born in 2085, will live longer for years from 96.5 (male) to 98.2 (female), but the gender gap will slightly decrease from 2.2 years, born in 1850, to 1.7 years, born in 2085. Of 1850’s African countries, if any person dies at 70, he/she will have died young as a result of an epochal change for humanity. The best answer for the life expectancy shows no reason for falling death rates. Though some people (melancholy) may consider longevity as something to be cursed, but they probably forget most people would find meaning and the solace in it. Acute shortage longevity of workers due to an increase in life expectancy will cause people to defy mortality since longevity might probably cause wrenching in the life of social and economy. As a result of longevity and implanted healthy brains, Freedom 75 will be in while Freedom 55 will be out.
- Definition
and Part of Speech
Crunch ▸ verb: Slang To perform operations on; manipulate or process (numerical or mathematical data).
Example sentences from the paper:
The Social Security analysts who crunch actuarial numbers don't make predictions.
Own sentence:
Any kind of results based upon provided statistics for life expectancy may be biased since the statistics can be used in order to crunch any kind of data for shaping of any model in different ways.
- Definition
and Part of Speech
Concede: ▸ verb: admit, make a clean breast of
Example sentenced from the paper:
They concede that life expectancy for U.S. males born 75 years from now could be as low as 81.3 years, a mere 5.7 years longer than for male babies born in 2010, as low as 84.7 years for females, a mere 3.9 years longer than for female babies born in 2010.
Own sentence:
Most people might concede side effects of life expectancy changes if an acute shortage of workers emerges.
- Definition
and Part of Speech
humble: ▸ adjective: marked by meekness or modesty; not arrogant or prideful ("A humble apology")
Example sentences from the paper: And although humble in comparison with best-scenario advances in life expectancy, the smaller gains still represent stunning change.
Own sentence:
A humble professional is known as a
real power of a good company.
- Definition
and Part of Speech
Stunning: ▸ adjective: causing, capable of causing, or liable to cause astonishment, bewilderment, or a loss of consciousness or strength: a stunning blow.
Example sentences from the paper: And although humble in comparison with best-scenario advances in life expectancy, the smaller gains still represent stunning change.
Own sentence:
An increase in life expectancy may cause a stunning emotion in elder people.
Neil
Reynolds : 750 Words
Good news: Life's no longer
short (not sure about nasty or brutish)
Published on Friday, Feb. 19, 2010 9:07PM EST Last updated on Friday, Feb. 26, 2010
3:26AM EST Neil Reynolds
Good news: Life's no longer short (not sure
about nasty or brutish)
Published on Friday, Feb. 19, 2010 9:07PM EST Last updated on Friday, Feb. 26, 2010 3:26AM EST Statistically at least, a boy born in 1850 could anticipate living for 38.3 years, a girl for 40.5 years – a life expectancy not much altered in thousands of years. A boy born in 2085 will anticipate living – according to the U.S. Social Security Administration, which apparently needs to know these things 75 years in advance – for perhaps 93.8 years, a girl for 96.1 years. In other words, the grandchildren of boys and girls born this year will routinely anticipate living long enough to know their own great-great-grandchildren. Social Security analysts who crunch actuarial numbers don't make predictions. They calculate probabilities. They concede that life expectancy for U.S. males born 75 years from now could be as low as 81.3 years, a mere 5.7 years longer than for male babies born in 2010, as low as 84.7 years for females, a mere 3.9 years longer than for female babies born in 2010. But the probability of the larger increase is as great as the probability of the smaller increase. And although humble in comparison with best-scenario advances in life expectancy, the smaller gains still represent stunning change. Assuming that advances in longevity continue
at even a modest rate – extending life expectancy, say, another month every
couple of years – the best-scenario average lifespan will be taken for
granted long before it actually happens. By 2085, centenarians will number in
the hundreds of thousands in the Canadians live longer than Americans. Assuming that this cross-border gap holds for the next 75 years, a Canadian boy born in 2085 should be able to anticipate living – again, best-case scenario – for 96.5 years, a Canadian girl for 98.2 years. After more than 200 years of increases in lifespan, though, the gender gap will remain, whittled down from 2.2 years in 1850 to 1.7 years in 2085. The average global life expectancy blends the very highest rates in the world with the very lowest. Japanese women (current life expectancy: 86.1 years) now live longer than anyone else. They will be the first to anticipate a 100-year lifespan as a national average. The breakthrough could occur as early as 2028. Around the world, with the exception of African countries cursed with 1850s lifespans, any person who subsequently dies at 70 – “threescore years and ten,” in the King James tradition – will have died young. This, too, is epochal change for a humanity accustomed to lives that were historically nasty, brutish and short. (epoch: noun) How long can life expectancy keep increasing?
The best answer is a calculation of probability. In Psalm 90, a melancholy poet dismisses long life itself as a curse (-‘ve connotation). “The length of our days is 70 years – or 80, if we have the strength,” one translation runs. “Yet their span is but trouble and sorrow, for they quickly pass and we fly away.” Most translations use the words “labour” or “toil” instead of “trouble” – reflecting the pervasive (across.expansive) mindset, then and now, that equates work with pain and suffering. The psalmist forgets that the only alternative to a long life is a short one. And, everyday lamentations aside, most people find meaning and solace in work (+’ve connotation). We are often informed that the “greying” of the advanced countries means wrenching social and economic change – and an acute shortage of workers. (“What on earth will we do with all the elders?” writer Judy Steed once asked. “Cut them loose on melting ice floes?”) But people will defy mortality not only by living longer but by living, in Olympian terminology, faster, higher and stronger. Technology will help. In BlackBerry Planet
, the compelling
story of the “little device that took the world by
storm,” |
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